Mon, Jun 10 2013, 7:58 AM
Tensions remain high in the upcoming week as last Friday's Employment
Situation Report failed to clearly suggest that the Fed would
legitimately c...
Mon, Jun 10 2013, 4:13 PM
Despite 10yr yields rising more than 3bps (up over 2.20% !), MBS were slightly improved by the 3pm Treasury close and look to be heading out the door ...
Fri, Jun 7 2013, 5:33 AM
There's typically very little to say that hasn't already been said come NFP morning. Although that's certainly true today, yesterday's weird price ...
Fri, Jun 7 2013, 4:40 PM
Following MBS is a tricky business. On the one hand, traders who are
rooting for MBS, do so from a spread standpoint, where the ups and downs
of ...
Fri, Jun 7 2013, 1:06 PM
Both Treasuries and MBS are weaker at the moment after hard-fought
volatility this morning. Immediately following the NFP release, both
sides of ...
Thu, Jun 6 2013, 6:59 AM
Today is the last before the event we've been waiting for since May 22nd. It was that dose of unexpectedly candid taper talk from Bernanke (later e...
Thu, Jun 6 2013, 4:36 PM
Do markets know something that we don't know? That's a tempting
question to ask after witnessing what was probably the most significant
global ma...
Thu, Jun 6 2013, 2:05 PM
The morning has been intense in terms of the " unseen hand " causing massive market movements. I talk a lot about "tradeflows
and technicals" movin...
Wed, Jun 5 2013, 11:42 AM
There was perhaps more volatility than MBS markets would have liked
following this morning's weaker-than-expected ADP Employment numbers.
Private...
Wed, Jun 5 2013, 7:55 AM
It's a sign of the times when fringy (no negative connotation here; merely refers to edge of spectrum) non-voting FOMC members express their fringy op...
Wed, Jun 5 2013, 6:17 PM
The blood-letting in MBS continued today in terms of price gains
relative to broader rates markets. For instance, 10yr Yields were
roughly 6 bps ...
Tue, Jun 4 2013, 12:29 PM
After a relatively uneventful overnight session, bond markets kicked off
the domestic hours unchanged from yesterday's close, but started
slipping...
Tue, Jun 4 2013, 6:23 PM
Despite being near their best historical levels compared to Treasuries
in the long run, MBS are at their weakest relative levels of performance
si...
Tue, Jun 4 2013, 6:11 AM
Tuesday is the last day of the week without a major potential tape
bomb on the economic calendar. Thursday is arguably in that same boat,
but see...
Mon, Jun 3 2013, 11:45 AM
Even though a case could be made for some technical exhaustion amid the
recent, pervasive sell-off, the morning's data has certainly played a
part...
Mon, Jun 3 2013, 7:41 AM
It's not the shortest week of the year, but it might as well be. By far and away, the most significant event
will occur on Friday with Non-Farm P...
Mon, Jun 3 2013, 4:21 PM
Though MBS began the day in weaker territory than Treasuries, they were
able to (eventually) keep pace with much of the rally that followed this
m...
Fri, May 31 2013, 12:19 PM
Most of the pertinent details of the morning have been covered in
the previous 'special alert.' The recap below fills in the blanks with
more spe...
Fri, May 31 2013, 10:14 AM
As a courtesy to our readers who aren't yet subscribers to MBS Live , we wanted to bring you an early update this morning as conditions have grown ...
Fri, May 31 2013, 7:37 AM
After an eerily uncommon two days in a row of gains, bond markets will face off with an old friend: ' month-end .' This tends to be a supportive time...
Fri, May 31 2013, 6:04 PM
If we consider the worst 5-week batches of time for production MBS, and
even if we allow late 2010 to combine the worst 5 weeks spanning
November ...
Thu, May 30 2013, 12:45 PM
The morning so far has been a simple one. Treasuries traded in their
most narrow range of the week overnight, though lost some ground into
the do...
Thu, May 30 2013, 7:42 AM
Jobless Claims at 8:30am will be the key release of the morning,
unless GDP manages to surprise. Either way, 8:30am is the focal point and
we'd e...
Thu, May 30 2013, 4:57 PM
Today was a pretty straightforward one as far as the bounce back from
Tuesday's mega sell-off is concerned. There was a fair chance Tuesday's
low...
Wed, May 29 2013, 12:28 PM
After overnight weakness in bond markets (both foreign and domestic),
Treasuries plodded back to unchanged territory. 10yr yields had been as
hig...
Wed, May 29 2013, 7:38 AM
Yesterday was the worst day for MBS and mortgage rates since ' Black Wednesday ,' on May 27, 2009. A lot has changed in those four years and a lot of...
Wed, May 29 2013, 6:33 PM
There's not much to discuss this afternoon as far as organic market
motivations are concerned. That's a funny way of saying that the
"stuff" that...
Tue, May 28 2013, 12:09 PM
In this morning's " week ahead " post, we highlighted the previous support seen around 2.04-2.07 percent in 10yr yields and that longer-run economic f...
Tue, May 28 2013, 8:54 PM
An adapted excerpt from tonight's ratewatch post :
If we had been fighting a battle for low rates, morale was high heading into the end of April...
Tue, May 28 2013, 7:29 AM
The past 4 weeks of selling brings MBS and Treasuries back to the scene of old battlegrounds from sell-offs past. With a moderate week of economic da...
Tue, May 28 2013, 3:26 PM
Although we don't typically publish "alerts" to the MBS Commentary channel (because of MBS Live ), today feels like a good day to break those rules c...
Fri, May 24 2013, 7:37 AM
Welcome to a crazy day for markets, maybe. It's a quadruple witching session, meaning that futures and options for single stocks and stock indices ...
Fri, May 24 2013, 4:31 PM
After a morning fraught with volatility, MBS finally bounced just after the noon hour. Even then, such a bounce wasn't really indicative of much more...
Fri, May 24 2013, 1:07 PM
Please not the timestamp on the price table below as Fannie 3.0s are currently down 3 ticks at 101-19, but had been as low as 101-13 earlier this morn...
Thu, May 23 2013, 12:47 PM
Mortgage markets are less than thrilled with the broader move into higher rates that was effectively confirmed yesterday, and we have 2 negative repri...
Thu, May 23 2013, 6:58 AM
The idea of "tapering" the Fed's long term asset purchases isn't as new as the past two weeks might make it seem. It was most visibly introduced in...
Thu, May 23 2013, 5:03 PM
Treasuries had a bit of an easier time today than MBS, the latter feeling the effects of a shift in duration preference that has been historically unk...
Wed, May 22 2013, 12:41 PM
If you read this commentary with any sort of frequency, you may have noticed a trend of late, where the mid-day recap has been coming out later than n...
Wed, May 22 2013, 8:11 PM
Today was among the worst on record for MBS since the carnage that was late 2010. We still have yet to see anything rival Black Wednesday's, but almo...
Wed, May 22 2013, 7:23 AM
Wednesday May 21st, and we finally get to see what all the fuss is supposedly about . The "fuss" or hype, if you prefer, was theoretically kicked in...
Tue, May 21 2013, 12:10 PM
Like a jilted lover learning how to trust again, MBS were tentative at first, and Treasuries hesitated at 1.97 as they descended from morning weakness...
Tue, May 21 2013, 6:12 AM
There continues to be little to do or say about the first two days of the week. For the most part, they merely serve as a sort of cruel waiting game ...
Tue, May 21 2013, 4:28 PM
In sort of an inverted reading of the recent script, bond markets weakened right out of the gate and began improving at 10am (several notable occasion...
Mon, May 20 2013, 12:36 PM
Please note the timestamp on the pricing snapshot below, and that it's about an hour and 15 minutes old. The snapshot will continue to be generated b...
Mon, May 20 2013, 7:53 AM
Whether or not it turns out to be justified, hype and anticipation have been building over this week's FOMC Minutes for over a week now. The hy...
Mon, May 20 2013, 4:44 PM
Bond markets got in this morning and quickly began undoing some of the damage done by the overnight trading session. Treasuries and MBS both opened f...
Fri, May 17 2013, 12:51 PM
Here we are again... All but a few days this week have seen morning sell-offs that have required negative reprice alerts for MBS Live subscribers . ...
Fri, May 17 2013, 7:53 AM
The bulk of the week's activity has passed, from a calendar standpoint, and this morning's Consumer Sentiment data is all that's left on the domestic ...
Fri, May 17 2013, 4:46 PM
MBS took a running start downhill this morning before reaching the edge of the cliff marked by yesterday morning's "ledge" of prices. This was the 10...
Thu, May 16 2013, 11:50 AM
Hopefully, in talking about the half point rally in MBS we're not unintentionally "jinxing" it, but yeah--there's a half point rally underway in MBS. ...
MBS Market Alerts
