Fri, Apr 24 2015, 5:33 PM
Up until this morning's Durable Goods data, bonds looked ready to go either way. MBS and Treasuries were slightly weaker, somewhere around halfway ba...
Fri, Apr 24 2015, 3:45 PM
Mortgage rates barely budged again today, which means they've been able to hold under an important ceiling as we head into next week's Fed Announce...
Thu, Apr 23 2015, 12:27 PM
From yesterday's first reprice alert on MBS Live at 9:34am ET:
"There is also the ongoing theme of corporate bond issuance. Several more deals ...
Thu, Apr 23 2015, 7:34 AM
Over the years, we've discussed the concept of "history repeating" in terms of similar market themes playing out, both qualitatively and quantitativel...
Thu, Apr 23 2015, 5:16 PM
Mortgage rates didn't move much today. While a few lenders were modestly improved, most were unchanged or offering slightly higher rates. This st...
Thu, Apr 23 2015, 5:16 PM
With 10yr yields at 1.952, we're certainly not out of the woods yet, but we can at least hold out some hope of exiting the woods. That wasn't such ...
Wed, Apr 22 2015, 12:56 PM
A noncommittal, sideways grind only has so much noncommittal and sideways in it before breaking out. This one was already overdue and already showing...
Wed, Apr 22 2015, 7:33 AM
Rates been in a narrow, noncommittal, sideways range for weeks. The last two days were especially barren in that they lacked any economic data, whi...
Wed, Apr 22 2015, 4:45 PM
By now, today's broken range is fairly old news. It's not only old news in the sense that it's been covered today, but indeed the POTENTIAL range b...
Wed, Apr 22 2015, 4:06 PM
Mortgage rates finally broke out of a persistent sideways grind today. Unfortunately, rates moved higher at a fairly brisk pace . Whereas most...
Tue, Apr 21 2015, 12:54 PM
10yr yields and MBS prices both made it to the weakest levels in 3 days--each threatening a break of technical support levels. In terms of 10yr yield...
Tue, Apr 21 2015, 7:32 AM
One nice thing about the current unwillingness on the part of bond markets to break through resistance levels is that they've been similarly unwilli...
Tue, Apr 21 2015, 5:09 PM
For a second day, bond markets gave up a modest amount of ground. To put the losses in context, yields are heading out at 1.91 in 10yr Treasuries. T...
Tue, Apr 21 2015, 3:38 PM
Mortgage rates are on the warpath , blazing a ferocious trail in a more sharply sideways
direction than we've seen in recent memory. This w...
Mon, Apr 20 2015, 7:34 AM
Although the Fed denies it, conventional wisdom suggests that major policy changes tend to be announced at the Fed meetings that include the post-anno...
Mon, Apr 20 2015, 5:23 PM
It was a struggle to observe anything interesting in bond markets today. That environment usually allows 'tradeflow considerations' to rise to the ...
Mon, Apr 20 2015, 4:38 PM
Mortgage rates figure if they can't be pushing down to new record lows, they might as well pass the time by shooting for different records. This...
Mon, Apr 20 2015, 1:40 PM
Nothing of note has transpired or conspired to move bond markets today. It's another Monday without economic data, meaningful headlines, or strong pa...
Fri, Apr 17 2015, 7:32 AM
Stop me if you've heard this one before. There's this epic long-term inflection point defined by 10yr yield levels 1.84-1.86. It stretches back to...
Fri, Apr 17 2015, 5:24 PM
All of today's drama--if you can call it that--came in the form of curve trading. That refers to traders adjusting bond market holdings by selling on...
Fri, Apr 17 2015, 4:32 PM
Mortgage rates barely budged yet again today despite more volatility in underlying financial markets. This is the 3rd day in a row with similar ...
Fri, Apr 17 2015, 1:26 PM
If this happens to be your very first time reading this site, you should know that we've been talking a lot about a few things. First is the fact t...
Thu, Apr 16 2015, 11:03 AM
This will be the third day in a row where bond markets have begun the day in stronger territory only to give back some of the gains as the day conti...
Thu, Apr 16 2015, 7:33 AM
The past two trading sessions have been highly informative for bond markets. As we've been discussing almost incessantly, there is good reason for bo...
Thu, Apr 16 2015, 4:03 PM
The trading day started out timidly enough, but with a bit of an ominous tone . This had to do with the fact the German Bunds made new all-time lows...
Thu, Apr 16 2015, 3:18 PM
Mortgage rates were unchanged again today , continuing a trend of minimal movement that has been intact for all but one day since Monday April 6th...
Wed, Apr 15 2015, 7:33 AM
Up until yesterday, everything since NFP had been fairly boring in terms of bond market activity. While there were some instances of moderate movemen...
Wed, Apr 15 2015, 5:02 PM
Markets have been doing a good job of reacting to economic data so far this week. That was a good thing again this morning as the data was weaker in g...
Wed, Apr 15 2015, 4:13 PM
Mortgage rates were unchanged to slightly higher today, though that depends largely on the individual strategies of the lender in question. Some...
Wed, Apr 15 2015, 1:00 PM
Bond markets' willingness to accept guidance from economic data is in full swing. As discussed in the Day Ahead , this morning offered several more ...
Tue, Apr 14 2015, 12:53 PM
There was a better chance that bond markets would react to today's Retail Sales data despite the lack of reaction to the last reading ( reasons discu...
Tue, Apr 14 2015, 7:34 AM
Last time we saw a Retail Sales report, the forecast called for a move back to +0.3 after the worst 2-month stretch since the onset of the financial c...
Tue, Apr 14 2015, 4:29 PM
Today's Retail Sales data stood a better chance to move markets than last time. Not only did the data move markets today, but it did so in a surpri...
Tue, Apr 14 2015, 4:11 PM
Mortgage rates improved today following a slightly weaker reading on Retail Sales data this morning. It seems that bond markets were waiting to ...
Mon, Apr 13 2015, 12:42 PM
There was a good article last week titled Take Off Friday and Monday Because Most Bond Traders Already Do . Most of the gist can be gleaned from the...
Mon, Apr 13 2015, 7:34 AM
N OTE: Fannie and Freddie 30yr fixed MBS 'rolled' over the weekend. The post-roll price of Fannie 3.0 MBS was 102-02. That will look like a 10/32nd...
Mon, Apr 13 2015, 5:16 PM
If you're tuning in to this recap to find out if something interesting happened today or if something is worth discussing with colleagues or clients, ...
Mon, Apr 13 2015, 4:49 PM
Mortgage rates didn't move much over the weekend in terms of lenders' rate sheets. Most are offering the same conventional 30yr fixed rate of 3.75...
Fri, Apr 10 2015, 12:50 PM
Nothing is happening. This was the theme of the Day Ahead, and nothing has changed. In fact, just hours after making fun of a Bloomberg article that...
Fri, Apr 10 2015, 7:32 AM
There's a problem in the world of financial market commentary and journalism. It has to do with man's constant search to find meaning in all things ...
Fri, Apr 10 2015, 4:36 PM
It was an intensely soporific trading session today. Bonds started out in positive territory and then began a slow, steady grind back toward unchan...
Fri, Apr 10 2015, 3:14 PM
Mortgage rates were at their highest levels in more than a week yesterday, but have fallen back to the best levels in 4 days today, on average....
Thu, Apr 9 2015, 12:26 PM
MBS are being dragged down enough for some lenders to be considering negative reprices , but the brunt of this morning's weakness is being born by Tr...
Thu, Apr 9 2015, 7:34 AM
Looking back on the past few days of trading activity, we see that absolutely nothing has happened since Monday's quick correction following Friday's ...
Thu, Apr 9 2015, 4:59 PM
Since mid-day on Monday, domestic bond markets hadn't done much at all. Despite a slightly expanding range, the momentum was sideways as both higher ...
Thu, Apr 9 2015, 3:55 PM
Mortgage rates moved only moderately higher today, but it was enough to bring them to April's worst levels. The bond market trading that underlies...
Wed, Apr 8 2015, 12:42 PM
The overnight session was calm. Japanese trading helped Treasuries a bit, and European hours did some damage. Bonds started the domestic session in ...
Wed, Apr 8 2015, 7:34 AM
There are no significant economic reports out this morning, leaving the focus clearly on the afternoon. First up will be the 10yr Treasury auction...
Wed, Apr 8 2015, 5:23 PM
Considering 10yr auctions and FOMC Minutes typically happen on Wednesdays, it's not uncommon for them to be sharing the stage. In today's case, they ...
Wed, Apr 8 2015, 4:26 PM
Mortgage rates managed a
fairly uneventful day despite the presence of some bigger-ticket
events. Actually, those events turned out to be the ...
