Wed, Jul 23 2014, 7:33 AM
Having spent the last 4 sessions trading near 2.47%, 10yr yields are operating in an important zone historically. For all intents and purposes, yield...
Wed, Jul 23 2014, 5:07 PM
Mortgage rates were mixed today
depending on the lender and the time of day you look. Most recently,
the average lender is back to unchanged v...
Wed, Jul 23 2014, 5:05 PM
Although MBS did a good job of pushing back against a recent bout of underperformance over the past 3 sessions, today showed it won't be a straight sh...
Tue, Jul 22 2014, 12:22 PM
MBS began the session at a disadvantage after overnight trading pushed bond yields and stock prices higher. At 8:30am, the Consumer Price Index (CPI)...
Tue, Jul 22 2014, 7:39 AM
2014 has been an interesting year for bond markets. In fact, in terms of its ability to continually confound market expectations, it's been one of th...
Tue, Jul 22 2014, 4:56 PM
Mortgage rates were unchanged
in most cases today, though some lenders were slightly worse. Even
then, the difference from yesterday is genera...
Tue, Jul 22 2014, 4:56 PM
Bond markets didn't put on much of a show today, but what little there was managed to be enjoyable . Credit that to the fact that trading levels mad...
Mon, Jul 21 2014, 11:35 AM
With no major economic data on the calendar, and no game-changing headlines to react to, bond markets have been content to follow stocks so far this...
Mon, Jul 21 2014, 7:33 AM
In many ways, the current week will serve as a prelude to the following week, which is exceptionally packed with big-ticket events . From Wednesday ...
Mon, Jul 21 2014, 5:36 PM
If you haven't heard already (say, like 7 or 8 times from us--both before and after the fact), today's calendar was fairly light for bond markets. ...
Mon, Jul 21 2014, 4:18 PM
Mortgage rates moved just barely lower
in most cases today, though some lenders were unchanged or slightly
higher. It was a slow start to the ...
Fri, Jul 18 2014, 12:13 PM
Sometimes the 2nd day of a big geopolitical move will spiral into a volatile blaze of glory. Other times, it's like today.
Bond markets are calmly...
Fri, Jul 18 2014, 7:31 AM
Although economic data had some small role to play in yesterday's strong bond market rally, the day was really all about geopolitical risk. If we've ...
Fri, Jul 18 2014, 4:02 PM
The amount of geopolitical turmoil in the world today is not materially better than yesterday, but without new surprises to fuel safe-haven demand, bo...
Fri, Jul 18 2014, 3:11 PM
Mortgage rates managed to hold their ground
today. Some lenders were even in slightly better shape, though there
was no change on average. Th...
Thu, Jul 17 2014, 11:33 AM
Despite a much stronger-than-expected Philly Fed report, bond markets didn't lose much ground after 10am. Earlier in the morning, weaker Housing Star...
Thu, Jul 17 2014, 7:41 AM
In a sense, bond markets came into the week as an underdog . They'd rallied the entire previous week to the lowest levels in over a month. And by F...
Thu, Jul 17 2014, 5:17 PM
Mortgage rates moved more decisively lower
today, though not for any stable or happy reasons. Such is often the
case with interest rates. As ...
Thu, Jul 17 2014, 5:04 PM
Today offered a triple or possibly quadruple-whammy for bond markets, almost exclusively in the form of overseas events. The weakest among these was ...
Wed, Jul 16 2014, 12:12 PM
Ah round 2! After a relatively civil and infinitely more relevant chat with the Senate Banking Committee, Fed Chair Yellen is now enduring what can o...
Wed, Jul 16 2014, 7:42 AM
When it comes to the Fed Chair's semi-annual congressional testimonies, the first of the two (in this case, yesterday's Senate Banking Committee) tend...
Wed, Jul 16 2014, 4:42 PM
As the last few trades of the day trickle in, MBS are set to close almost perfectly in line with yesterday's closing levels. Even before that, ther...
Wed, Jul 16 2014, 3:16 PM
Mortgage rates were just barely higher
today on average. The movement was so small that several lenders were
actually unchanged or slightly be...
Tue, Jul 15 2014, 12:36 PM
As expected, today's congressional testimony from Fed Chair Yellen was, by far, the biggest market mover in the room. The volume and movement at 10...
Tue, Jul 15 2014, 7:54 AM
In stark contrast to Monday's empty calendar, Tuesday brings both important economic data and Yellen's first round of congressional testimony. Of t...
Tue, Jul 15 2014, 4:43 PM
As far as today's market movers are concerned, Retail Sales was dwarfed by Yellen, but most of the reaction to Yellen cancelled itself out. In othe...
Tue, Jul 15 2014, 3:26 PM
Mortgage rates moved slightly higher again today .
Fed Chair Janet Yellen provided her semi-annual testimony to the Senate
Banking Committee th...
Mon, Jul 14 2014, 11:51 AM
Asian, European, and domestic markets have all agreed: it's a quiet trading day . The light volumes make for a situation where it doesn't take much ...
Mon, Jul 14 2014, 7:31 AM
Last week was a dud in terms of scheduled events. This week isn't the polar opposite, but it's much more active. Monday and Friday are the only days...
Mon, Jul 14 2014, 4:19 PM
Mortgage rates rose modestly today ,
ending last week's streak of 5 days without an increase. The movement
wasn't enough to unseat 4.125% as th...
Mon, Jul 14 2014, 4:19 PM
Bond markets simply *were* weaker today. Certainly, there was no overt reason for this, and the less obvious reasons are open to debate. Even if w...
Fri, Jul 11 2014, 12:04 PM
Bond markets have been stronger today, and have carved out a linear trend of improvements from morning price levels. Interestingly enough, this stren...
Fri, Jul 11 2014, 7:42 AM
There are no significant economic reports on the calendar today, and the week's auction cycle is already wrapped up. While there are two Fed speakers...
Fri, Jul 11 2014, 5:30 PM
Treasuries and MBS walked a cautious path to the exits today, staying perfectly inside the middle of yesterday's trading range. The overnight sessi...
Fri, Jul 11 2014, 3:35 PM
Mortgage rates moved just barely lower today,
bringing them in lines with the lowest levels of the month. In this
case, when we talk about "th...
Thu, Jul 10 2014, 12:27 PM
Core European debt markets set the tone for the overnight session. That means German Bunds big rally helped US Treasury yields move lower overnight...
Thu, Jul 10 2014, 7:39 AM
Let's do the same thing we did yesterday and get the daily analysis out of the way in one paragraph so I can wrap up the "NFP Reflections." Yesterday...
Thu, Jul 10 2014, 4:37 PM
Mortgage rates continued lower today ,
helped along this time by European markets. Although mortgage rates
are most directly influenced by pric...
Thu, Jul 10 2014, 4:30 PM
Eurozone contagion made an appearance today in much the same way it did for nearly all of 2010-2012. This time around, it's Portugal's Banco Espiri...
Wed, Jul 9 2014, 12:09 PM
While MBS have made up some ground compared to Treasuries over the past few hours, they're generally underperforming this week. Fannie 3.5s are down ...
Wed, Jul 9 2014, 7:55 AM
We'll get the normal "day ahead' stuff out of the way in a paragraph today because I spent most of my writing time on something I otherwise wasn't goi...
Wed, Jul 9 2014, 5:38 PM
Mortgage rates improved again today ,
but it wasn't exactly a straight line to success. In fact, the
underlying bond markets that directly imp...
Wed, Jul 9 2014, 5:16 PM
While the overnight session was slightly weaker and the 10yr auction made things that much worse, the day's main event was undoubtedly the FOMC Minute...
Tue, Jul 8 2014, 11:54 AM
With today continuing yesterday's tradition of offering very little by way of scheduled events, bond markets must look elsewhere for cues. Actually, ...
Tue, Jul 8 2014, 7:42 AM
"The range" is admittedly an overused term, and it requires constant contextual clarification. While various examples offer convenient connections be...
Tue, Jul 8 2014, 4:38 PM
Market participation was pathetic yesterday--the lightest session since at least April. Today was merely "average" but that's a huge improvement over...
Tue, Jul 8 2014, 3:10 PM
Mortgage rates improved today .
The bonds that most directly affect rates got a boost from stock market
weakness and ongoing European bond mark...
Mon, Jul 7 2014, 12:40 PM
From Thursday's latest levels, Fannie 3.5s are 3/32nds higher in price, compared to a 9/32nds gain in 10yr Treasuries (also in price). That means Tre...
Mon, Jul 7 2014, 7:32 AM
On the whole, 2014 has certainly seen a narrow range in rates, but within that broader range, we've still been able to witness distinct trends. For...
Mon, Jul 7 2014, 4:48 PM
Today's session barely had a pulse. Weather is nice. It's the day after a 3-day weekend, and there was nothing meaningful on the event calendar. ...
