Fri, Apr 17 2020, 6:22 PM
Mortgage rates continue showing a willingness to play by at least a few of the same rules that typically apply. Most of the rules went out the window ...
Fri, Apr 17 2020, 3:21 PM
There was a sharp sell-off in the bond market on Friday afternoon--at least relative to the day's relatively calm trading patterns--as the Fed once ag...
Fri, Apr 17 2020, 9:46 AM
If I accidentally jinxed it, the damage was already done in yesterday's MBS Huddle video, so we might as well talk about it. "Talk about what," you m...
Thu, Apr 16 2020, 10:25 AM
Coronavirus has made for some of the biggest market movement and volatility in the history of financial markets. It's also resulted in a wide range o...
Wed, Apr 15 2020, 5:16 PM
Mortgage rates had a reasonably calm and logical day--not something we've been able to say very often recently. It was calm in the sense that today's ...
Wed, Apr 15 2020, 8:29 AM
There's no question that financial markets have done a great deal to price-in the anticipated economic impact of coronavirus, but have they done enoug...
Tue, Apr 14 2020, 4:54 PM
Mortgage rates were moderately to significantly higher today depending on the lender, the program, and on one's own definition of words like "moderate...
Tue, Apr 14 2020, 11:09 AM
There's a bit of 20/20 hindsight in the observation that MBS strength could/should only last for so long before experiencing a bit of a correction. I...
Mon, Apr 13 2020, 5:06 PM
Mortgage rates have been volatile and unpredictable to say the least. Some of this has to do with overall market volatility surrounding the market's r...
Mon, Apr 13 2020, 10:10 AM
Markets have already shown how well they understand the uniquely massive economic toll taken by coronavirus. That's why we're able to see things like...
Fri, Apr 10 2020, 2:18 PM
Just as the mortgage industry was coming to terms with unprecedented market volatility due to coronavirus, the details of the CARES Act (the coronavir...
Thu, Apr 9 2020, 3:37 PM
The Fed announced new lending programs totaling $2.3 trillion this morning. The Fed had recently alluded to "additional tools" at its disposal to sup...
Wed, Apr 8 2020, 12:08 PM
Any discussion about the challenges faced by a particular industry or even by a particular household requires the same acknowledgement right up front...
Mon, Apr 6 2020, 4:55 PM
The most important ingredient in the mortgage market is the presence of homeowners--prospective or otherwise--with the means and desire to make monthl...
Mon, Apr 6 2020, 10:58 AM
Here's this week's Fed MBS Purchase Schedule.
The daily amount is down from a recent peak of $50 bln to $25 bln . So does that mean the Fed is o...
Thu, Apr 2 2020, 10:41 AM
Many people have "expert sources" they rely on for insight to potential market movers. I understand this quite well. On the one hand , I used to be...
Wed, Apr 1 2020, 9:43 AM
This morning's ADP Employment showed a loss of 27k jobs. Forecasts called for a loss of 150k jobs compared to last month's report that was strongly p...
Tue, Mar 31 2020, 5:30 PM
There are too many counter-intuitive and frustrating developments in the mortgage market to comprehend all at one time, let alone discuss. That's not ...
Tue, Mar 31 2020, 2:27 PM
CURRENT FED MBS BUYING SCHEDULE AND PURCHASE LOOKUP TOOL
I'm changing up this Q&A to make it shorter, denser, and better. If it's too pithy for you...
Tue, Mar 31 2020, 9:42 AM
I don't know much about porridge. I'm not even sure I've ever eaten it. I do know one thing about it though: the temperature has to be "just right" ...
Mon, Mar 30 2020, 12:19 AM
Here is this week's MBS buying calendar.
It differs from last week's in that there is now only $40bln of purchases per day rather than $50bln.
S...
Fri, Mar 27 2020, 10:50 AM
I devoted years of my life championing the cause of educating mortgage originators on the realities of MBS price movement. The most compelling call...
Thu, Mar 26 2020, 5:17 PM
I will do my best to speak to both consumer and mortgage industry people on this topic. It affects everyone. With that in mind, the following is a l...
Wed, Mar 25 2020, 6:42 PM
Depending on what you're looking at, when you look, and where you look, mortgage rates could either be amazing or terrible. Large, upstanding, secure,...
Wed, Mar 25 2020, 9:26 AM
It's no secret that volatility has been a big deal in the bond market (and most other markets) recently. But there's no comparing the drama seen in T...
Tue, Mar 24 2020, 6:36 PM
There is a LOT of misinformation flying around out there about the mortgage market, the Fed, and the various impacts on rates from the government's co...
Tue, Mar 24 2020, 11:49 AM
This page is now your official resource for the week when it comes to ANY AND ALL questions pertaining to what the Fed is doing in the mortgage market...
Tue, Mar 24 2020, 9:49 AM
Hit the comment section if we're missing anything and we'll get it updated to keep this as an up-to-date list of COVID-related changes to underwriting...
Mon, Mar 23 2020, 9:52 AM
There was a time when several billion dollars a day of Fed MBS purchases was considered a lot. Then the Fed's coronavirus response happened.
The Fe...
Thu, Mar 19 2020, 5:42 PM
Today was the most volatile day in the history of the mortgage market in many regards. There were days in the early 80's that saw rates move by simila...
Wed, Mar 18 2020, 10:47 AM
Everyone has a lot to digest right now. The average human on planet earth is no different from the entire financial market in that regard. We're und...
Tue, Mar 17 2020, 9:57 AM
There is some interesting stuff going on with global bond markets. Even as COVID ravages Europe, benchmark yields (German 10yr) are soaring relative ...
Mon, Mar 16 2020, 5:40 PM
Lots of words recently and lots to do for all of us, so let's make this simple. No, you can't get a that new 0% mortgage rate you heard about! It does...
Mon, Mar 16 2020, 9:44 AM
If you haven't seen the details of the over-the-weekend emergency Fed announcement, read this: http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage_rates/blog/93...
Sun, Mar 15 2020, 5:45 PM
There are a lot of words here. If you have a mortgage you might ever refinance (and especially if you think Sunday's emergency Fed news means you can ...
Fri, Mar 13 2020, 1:01 PM
Let's clear a few things up.
The Fed was already buying $60bln / month of bonds. Yesterday's announcement meant that the composition of those bond...
Thu, Mar 12 2020, 9:16 PM
In all my years of following mortgage rates I haven't seen anything quite like the current environment. 2008 came fairly close, but the vibe was decid...
Thu, Mar 12 2020, 10:18 AM
Another day, another false start confirmed for the stock market. More specifically, the modest bounce in stocks that was intact on Tuesday afternoon ...
Wed, Mar 11 2020, 4:46 PM
Mortgage rates continued a relentless surge higher today. The move began in earnest yesterday for two key reasons: bond market panic and mortgage mark...
Wed, Mar 11 2020, 12:46 PM
Just before 11am, we saw a move in MBS like few we've experienced since the financial crisis. WELL before the correlated move in Treasuries, MBS pric...
Wed, Mar 11 2020, 9:32 AM
Yesterday brought a fairly significant sell-off to the bond market and a slightly less significant rally to the stock market. Granted, the 4% improve...
Tue, Mar 10 2020, 5:47 PM
Mortgage rates have exploded higher over the past day and a half as the bond market sends threatening signals about a big picture bounce off the recen...
Tue, Mar 10 2020, 9:30 AM
If you're looking at the world through the lens of an epidemiologist, CDC employee, airline CEO, the stock market, the economy, or person over 65 livi...
Mon, Mar 9 2020, 5:02 PM
Mortgage rates would kindly like to reserve the right not to make sense to you, or anyone else these days. They haven't been pulled in so many directi...
Mon, Mar 9 2020, 11:43 AM
Overnight market panic made for some truly spectacular movement in the bond market with the 10yr Treasury yield down more than 40 bps at one point to ...
Fri, Mar 6 2020, 7:28 PM
Mortgage rates remain at or near all time lows , but they haven't moved much since hitting them earlier this week--at least on average. In fact, the a...
Fri, Mar 6 2020, 10:58 AM
At the moment I'm typing this, 10yr Treasury yields are 40 basis points lower than they were at the end of last week. This hasn't happened since the ...
Thu, Mar 5 2020, 8:00 AM
A bit of a diversion from the typical "Day Ahead" this morning as I came across an interesting assertion while talking about mortgage rates with some ...
Wed, Mar 4 2020, 7:08 PM
Gigantic bond rallies resulting in all-time rate lows have some side effects. One of them is that we subsequently find ourselves wondering if each re...
Wed, Mar 4 2020, 5:21 PM
Mortgage rates have progressively hit newer and lower all time lows every day this week, but there's one massive catch. Rates and fees have been extra...