Tue, Mar 18 2014, 4:05 PM
After weakness pervaded the past two sessions, bond markets have managed to find their footing before giving back any more of last Thursday's Ukraine-...
Mon, Mar 17 2014, 12:10 PM
Bond markets had moved into a defensive position on Friday in order to account for geopolitical fallout after Sunday's referendum in Crimea. After th...
Mon, Mar 17 2014, 8:00 AM
Last week's calendar of events were little match for the headlines coming out regarding the situation in Ukraine. Markets were in full " herd mode ,"...
Mon, Mar 17 2014, 4:15 PM
Last week saw a reigniting of geopolitical risk on Thursday after headlines suggested the Crimean referendum as a potential powder keg over the week...
Fri, Mar 14 2014, 12:20 PM
The morning has seen rapid swings between highs and lows for stocks, bonds, MBS, and just about everything else. As expected, the logical impact fr...
Fri, Mar 14 2014, 8:00 AM
There's some inherent moral conflict in being a fan of lower mortgage rates. No sane person wishes for the sort of strife surrounding the Russia/Uk...
Fri, Mar 14 2014, 4:33 PM
Bond markets started the day in fairly decent shape, not much changed following yesterday's substantial Ukraine-inspired improvement. Domestic econom...
Thu, Mar 13 2014, 12:29 PM
Until 11:11am, the day may well have been about the fairly tepid reaction to stronger economic data. Treasuries had traded a super narrow range overn...
Thu, Mar 13 2014, 8:00 AM
Bond markets had a great day on Wednesday and were able to rally both before and after the 10yr Note Auction. The question is: does this reveal som...
Thu, Mar 13 2014, 4:26 PM
Very little was happening before 11:11am today. Overnight markets were calm and sideways. Treasuries and MBS began the day in unchanged territory. ...
Wed, Mar 12 2014, 11:49 AM
The overnight session was moderately strong for Treasuries, helped along by slumping stocks in Asia and rallying bond markets in Europe. We have seen...
Wed, Mar 12 2014, 8:00 AM
Until something new and different happens today to inspire some volatility in bond markets, yesterday continues to be the most interesting event. The...
Wed, Mar 12 2014, 4:25 PM
Today was a good day for both MBS and Treasuries. Not only that, but it was good right from the start (courtesy of a positive overnight session) an...
Tue, Mar 11 2014, 12:07 PM
The day began with bond markets moving relentlessly sideways, and against the backdrop of Friday's post-NFP move, they still are. In other words, MBS...
Tue, Mar 11 2014, 8:00 AM
Considering the lack of actionable news and events during the first half of the week, bond market participants can either turn their attention to wha...
Tue, Mar 11 2014, 3:41 PM
Today is one of those days where Treasury movements definitely do not tell the story for MBS. Today's Senate headlines on the upcoming Fannie/Freddie...
Mon, Mar 10 2014, 11:55 AM
Domestic market movers have been in limited supply so far today. Bond markets have paid some attention to tradeflows surrounding big corporate deals...
Mon, Mar 10 2014, 8:00 AM
After moving through the worst week of losses since mid-August, bond markets are left to consider whether it's time fully abandon February's weather...
Mon, Mar 10 2014, 4:45 PM
As far as Mondays after NFP Fridays go, today could have been worse. On occasion, these Mondays can serve to perpetuate a new trend set in motion aft...
Fri, Mar 7 2014, 12:49 PM
Not only was this morning's employment data stronger than expected, but it would probably have been even stronger if not for the weather effect. As ...
Fri, Mar 7 2014, 7:45 AM
The boring scenario for today would be for the all-important Employment Situation Report to show payroll creation lagging recent averages, coming in a...
Fri, Mar 7 2014, 4:26 PM
8:30-8:32... These were the only two minutes of the day where anything interesting was happening for bond markets. It wasn't the good kind of 'int...
Thu, Mar 6 2014, 11:57 AM
MBS are now at the best levels since before this morning's economic data. Before that, Treasuries were slightly weaker overnight, resulting in open...
Thu, Mar 6 2014, 8:00 AM
A quick recap of the year so far...
January kicked off with bond markets holding their ground at the weakest levels in more than two years.
...
Thu, Mar 6 2014, 4:32 PM
Bond markets were slightly weaker overnight as Geopolitical risk surround Ukraine continued to unwind. There wasn't much by way of new developments...
Wed, Mar 5 2014, 11:48 AM
MBS and Treasuries are both in slightly positive territory, and that's saying something considering the apparent challenge involved in getting here. ...
Wed, Mar 5 2014, 7:45 AM
"As with any geopolitical situation affecting markets, we'll only know the corner has been turned in hindsight. Until then, it's a wild card that's ...
Wed, Mar 5 2014, 3:55 PM
The overnight session ushered trading levels into just slightly weaker territory in the first part of the domestic session. In other words, this morn...
Tue, Mar 4 2014, 12:41 PM
Ukraine-related headlines sent moderate shockwaves through markets overnight, pushing Treasury yields higher by the open. Since then, the negative mo...
Tue, Mar 4 2014, 8:00 AM
While geopolitical tensions in Ukraine are certainly affecting markets, they're not affecting all markets equally. Core European debt has consistentl...
Tue, Mar 4 2014, 4:40 PM
Nothing new happened all day long. Unfortunately, the order of the day was a steady selling spree in MBS and Treasuries--easily the worst we've seen ...
Mon, Mar 3 2014, 11:58 AM
There's always a risk of crediting uncommon news headlines with too much market movement . That's certainly happening with Ukraine to some extent at...
Mon, Mar 3 2014, 8:00 AM
This week's calendar of economic data has a roughly average number of reports, but several of them are potent market movers. Friday's jobs report , ...
Mon, Mar 3 2014, 4:07 PM
As fun as it is to be cynical about the market movers getting the most attention, today's strength in bond markets really was mostly about Ukraine. ...
Fri, Feb 28 2014, 12:41 PM
Bond markets went into the locker room after this morning's econ data fairly discouraged, but not enough to give up. That was less obviously the cas...
Fri, Feb 28 2014, 8:00 AM
With the past five sessions having been green for MBS, today affords them the opportunity to do something they haven't done since the end of March 201...
Fri, Feb 28 2014, 3:57 PM
Month-end to the rescue! We've been talking about it all week and now the phenomenon (month-end buying) is a major contributor in bond markets' abili...
Thu, Feb 27 2014, 12:24 PM
MBS began the session in slightly stronger territory and soon gave up those gains after stronger-than-expected Durable Goods data. Despite the pull-b...
Thu, Feb 27 2014, 8:00 AM
In two short days, bond markets have gone from being closer to 1-month highs to the best levels in more than two weeks. Such things only become pos...
Thu, Feb 27 2014, 4:52 PM
Fannie 4.0s are up 5 ticks at 104-28. That's 9 ticks lower than the early February highs, but keep in mind those highs came just before the roll, whi...
Wed, Feb 26 2014, 12:38 PM
The day began with MBS and Treasuries in weaker territory after an uneventful overnight session. There wasn't much to the weakness and it only made f...
Wed, Feb 26 2014, 8:00 AM
Today's calendar is less busy overall, compared to Tuesday, but offers a good mix of data and events . The only significant economic report of the d...
Wed, Feb 26 2014, 4:33 PM
If trading days were sporting events, today would be a great game. There were several score changes, but the home team came out strong after half-tim...
Tue, Feb 25 2014, 12:19 PM
Bond markets are seeing their best day of gains since last Tuesday with 10yr yields down from 2.75 to just over 2.70. Fannie 4.0 MBS are up 10 ticks....
Tue, Feb 25 2014, 8:00 AM
As far as economic reports go, Consumer Confidence (often lumped together psychologically with "Consumer Sentiment") occupies that well-populated "2...
Tue, Feb 25 2014, 4:18 PM
Today ended up being one of the the calmest in recent memory in terms of price volatility in MBS. From 9:30am on, the biggest gap between the day's...
Mon, Feb 24 2014, 12:18 PM
Although Treasury yields have been moving in the same direction as stock prices, the magnitude is completely different. Whereas the S&P is up an impr...
Mon, Feb 24 2014, 8:00 AM
Frustration and confusion are ongoing themes for bond markets at the moment. The most visible antagonist in that regard is the "weather effect," wher...
Mon, Feb 24 2014, 4:26 PM
Bond markets overall have seen a fair share of ups and downs today, albeit in a narrow range. But where Treasuries took 2 steps back, MBS usually onl...
Fri, Feb 21 2014, 12:13 PM
Bond markets opened and spent the first hour of the day in weaker territory, but began to recover even before the Existing Home Sales data. That rec...
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