Wed, Jun 30 2010, 6:15 PM
This week, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York Open Market Trading Desk (the Desk) began conducting a limited amount of agency mortgage-backed securi...
Tue, Jun 29 2010, 11:39 AM
Upon inspection, it looks like loan pricing is more aggressive today than it was last Wednesday. Are my spreadsheets lying to me or is that an accurat...
Tue, Jun 29 2010, 9:02 AM
The April S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index has been released. Data was better than expected. Stock futures and interest rates really didn't react to...
Tue, Jun 29 2010, 8:17 AM
Equity futures are tracking global stocks sharply lower this morning as investors await key housing price data and results from a consumer confidence ...
Tue, Jun 29 2010, 6:43 PM
Lets review recent events. As euro crisis contagion exhausted itself in May, stocks began to rise from long-term support levels. Short covering led to...
Mon, Jun 28 2010, 8:28 AM
Equity futures are trading higher after G20 leaders pledged to cut government deficits and decided to drop a 2012 deadline for banks to adopt more str...
Mon, Jun 28 2010, 5:15 PM
The 10 year note is all set for a test of 3.00% and S&Ps are ready to see how strong 1070 support really is....if this trade plays out overnight into ...
Mon, Jun 28 2010, 1:19 PM
Did you notice how aggressively lenders were priced this morning? A few rate sheets were over 50 bps better on 4.625, 4.50, and 4.375% notes! While mo...
Fri, Jun 25 2010, 10:01 AM
Don't be surprised if secondary marketing is a little under the weather today. You will likely experience modest delays as lock desks are now sorting ...
Fri, Jun 25 2010, 8:12 AM
Equity futures are pointing higher this morning after the House and Senate agreed to a final version of what’s being called the the biggest regulatory...
Fri, Jun 25 2010, 4:39 PM
If we're really headed for a double dip, interest rates will surely move lower. I'm just not sure how much further mortgage rates can fall though...
Thu, Jun 24 2010, 12:09 PM
With MBS prices hitting new highs on a daily basis, lock desks and traders have able to get away with being under hedged. While this strategy works ou...
Thu, Jun 24 2010, 8:43 AM
4.0 MBS coupons traded yesterday. This means 4.25% mortgage rates were available on rate sheets. I heard of a market being made in 3.50s but that is p...
Thu, Jun 24 2010, 8:12 AM
Following a dizzying 33% drop in new home sales yesterday, plus a more dovish statement from the Federal Reserve, investors have become worried about ...
Thu, Jun 24 2010, 1:26 PM
The 7-year note auction went well...but benchmark yields are still on the rise. I would characterize the behavior of the 10yr note as "indecisive cons...
Wed, Jun 23 2010, 9:59 AM
Sales of new single-family houses in May 2010 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 300,000, according to estimates released jointly today by t...
Wed, Jun 23 2010, 8:44 AM
Lenders are delaying the release of loan pricing until the market makes a directional move around 10am. If New Home Sales disappoint, stocks will turn...
Wed, Jun 23 2010, 2:30 PM
The FOMC Statement has been released. The subtle alterations made to the statement were skewed to the bearish side of the BIG PICTURE storyline. This...
Wed, Jun 23 2010, 1:00 PM
This was a brutal auction! Blame the flight to safety yesterday...this issue was too expensive! The August Fannie Mae 4.5 MBS coupon lost 4 ticks in p...
Tue, Jun 22 2010, 10:32 AM
10:00 22Jun10 RTRS-US MAY EXISTING HOME SALES 5.66 MLN UNIT ANNUAL RATE (CONS 6.12 MLN) VS APRIL 5.79 MLN (PRV 5.77)-NAR
10:00 22Jun10 RTRS-US MAY EX...
Tue, Jun 22 2010, 8:08 AM
The "Keep It Simple Stupid" theory seems to be the most fitting method of market watching these days. Investment horizons are short and while particip...
Tue, Jun 22 2010, 5:57 PM
Mortgages traded to new record price highs today. The low production volume origination environment continues to support favorable "rate sheet influen...
Tue, Jun 22 2010, 1:32 PM
If you are hoping for reprices you should be watching the August FN 4.5 MBS coupon (and the 4.0), which is currently +0-08 at 102-27. It is possible t...
Mon, Jun 21 2010, 12:37 PM
The mixed messages offered by the market in previous weeks have evolved into no messages. In June, we've witnessed irrational interest rate reactions ...
Mon, Jun 21 2010, 5:21 PM
Thinking forward, because loan officers are closing their loans (pull-through!) and commitment buckets aren't losing much water (salable loan paper), ...
Fri, Jun 18 2010, 7:34 AM
Plain and Simple: the recent stock market rally has yet to grow legs of its own as forced buying has led the indexes higher. This leaves equities susc...
Thu, Jun 17 2010, 10:34 AM
The majors published pricing pretty early this morning...when production coupons were at lower levels. Since then stocks have pulled a complete 180. S...
Thu, Jun 17 2010, 7:07 AM
S&Ps opened lower and traded higher before closing near the same level they opened yesterday. This tells us the stock market is indecisive after S&Ps...
Wed, Jun 16 2010, 8:31 AM
Good Morning. 830am data has been released. Housing Starts were much worse than expected as were Building Permits. The yield curve is flatter and the ...
Tue, Jun 15 2010, 12:27 PM
The Euro, Oil, and the S&P are adding to early session appreciations and interest rates are starting to suffer because of it. The later your lender pu...
Tue, Jun 15 2010, 8:54 AM
Investors seem to be comfortable with the EU crisis discount they have priced into asset valuations...either that or options expiration week is drivin...
Tue, Jun 15 2010, 6:28 PM
Doesn't it feel like the stock market is operating in its own little world again? Doesn't it seem like the bond market is trying to tell us it has no ...
Mon, Jun 14 2010, 9:03 AM
With trader sentiments still reflective of a non-committal bias, headline news remains a primary motivational factor of tactical stances (short term s...
Mon, Jun 14 2010, 4:50 PM
Although the short term behavior of both stock and bond markets has been indicative of a looming long-term trend reversal, neither market was able to ...
Fri, Jun 11 2010, 12:35 PM
Normally we'd expect lenders to pass along better loan pricing when production MBS coupon prices rally up 8 ticks (+0-08 or 8/32). Not 8/32 from the o...
Fri, Jun 11 2010, 8:43 AM
Stocks are lower and bonds are better after the U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for M...
Fri, Jun 11 2010, 5:57 PM
The market is still acting non-committal, the biggest difference is open interest is way lower in both stock futures and 10yr TSY futures. One of thes...
Thu, Jun 10 2010, 9:36 AM
MBS prices are backing away from all time highs as stocks rally. The FN 4.0 is -0-11 at 99-31. The FN 4.5 is -0-07 at 102-26. The GN 4.0 is -0-11 at ...
Thu, Jun 10 2010, 3:49 PM
Have you ever wondered why longer term locks are more expensive than short term locks?
Thu, Jun 10 2010, 1:00 PM
Indirect buyers are responsible for me being able to say this auction went well. They were the aggressive bidders. After the auction Benchmark TSYs yi...
Wed, Jun 9 2010, 8:58 AM
We had what I hope was an enlightening conversation yesterday afternoon about the status of loan pipelines and the recent improvement in loan pricing....
Wed, Jun 9 2010, 5:14 PM
FN4.5: +0-06 at 103-02. GN4.5: +0-06 at 103-22. Secondary Market Current Coupon: -1.4bps to 3.98%. CC Yield Spreads:+80.2/10yTSY. +70.5/10yIRS. Went O...
Wed, Jun 9 2010, 1:18 PM
Auction demand was strong but only at higher yields and lower prices. Primary dealers took down more inventory than usual to offset a decline in direc...
Tue, Jun 8 2010, 8:50 AM
Markets are range bound at the moment but teetering on a broader technical breakdown. It's still all about the stock lever and the Euro. If the Euro f...
Tue, Jun 8 2010, 2:09 PM
Depending on fallout, your secondary marketing department is probably underwater on their loan pricing after the recent run-up in MBS prices. You tell...
Mon, Jun 7 2010, 8:40 AM
When do U.S. stocks and bonds disconnect from the directional movements of the Euro? When does the opportunity cost of risk averse investing outweigh ...
Mon, Jun 7 2010, 6:18 PM
Although S&Ps still haven't broken 1050 support, it's hard not to sit back and watch how far this interest rate rally goes. The million dollar MBS que...
Fri, Jun 4 2010, 12:04 PM
The S&P has broken 1080 support and benchmark 10s are testing 3.20 resistance. This has helped MBS prices extend their rally.
Fri, Jun 4 2010, 8:30 AM
MAY NONFARM PAYROLLS +431,000 (CONSENSUS +513,000) VS APRIL UNREVISED AT +290,000
MAY PRIVATE SECTOR JOBS +41,000, GOVT 390,000, CENSUS JOBS +411,000...
Fri, Jun 4 2010, 5:57 PM
If the Euro is doomed to trade toward parity, does that mean the U.S. is destined for a double dip? With housing teetering on a ledge and 6.7 million...
MBS Market Alerts
