Fri, Jul 17 2015, 12:02 PM
The clear message from today's trading range in bond markets is that this weekend will finally be an actual weekend. That's a change of pace from the...
Fri, Jul 17 2015, 7:33 AM
There are three moderately important economic reports on tap today. In fact, 2 of them--CPI and Housing Starts--can be fairly respectable market mov...
Fri, Jul 17 2015, 5:41 PM
Domestic bond marched to their own beat today, holding much steadier than European bonds overnight and standing their ground against a stock rally thi...
Thu, Jul 16 2015, 10:32 AM
First off, it's important to note that everything is still playing out inside a narrow range overall. We're about to discuss improvements in bond m...
Thu, Jul 16 2015, 7:33 AM
Greece voted overwhelmingly in favor of accepting the bailout terms negotiated this past weekend. The vote took place after the closing bell yesterda...
Thu, Jul 16 2015, 6:25 PM
Greek votes, German votes, European official comments, Draghi Press conference, Jobless Claims, NAHB, Philly Fed, Greek bridge loans, and more congres...
Wed, Jul 15 2015, 7:32 AM
Both in terms of scheduled data on the calendar and unscheduled headline potential from Greece, today is action-packed. The domestic economic data is...
Wed, Jul 15 2015, 5:49 PM
Most of Yellen's congressional testimony today was occupied by political axe-grinding rather than thoughtful dialogue on the path of monetary policy. ...
Wed, Jul 15 2015, 1:45 PM
It's been a tremendously busy morning for bond markets with news coming in on multiple fronts. Not only that, but much of the news is at least worthy...
Tue, Jul 14 2015, 11:56 AM
We've had a nice little break from the recent norm today. Domestic economic data is actually responsible for the lion's share of bond market moveme...
Tue, Jul 14 2015, 7:33 AM
Hindsight is 20/20, but only for those with both eyes open. Unfortunately and comically, Treasury, The SEC, The Fed, and The CFTC still aren't lookin...
Tue, Jul 14 2015, 7:24 PM
There's nothing new to report from the MBS Mid-Day as bond markets continued to trade well within the morning's range through the close. The best lev...
Mon, Jul 13 2015, 7:33 AM
"Tsipras, and a majority of the Greek population (according to polls), want to stay in the EU, but no longer wish to abide by the austerity measures t...
Mon, Jul 13 2015, 5:03 PM
It's not immediately apparent when looking at 10yr yields being roughly 5.5bps higher this afternoon, but bond markets largely deferred their reaction...
Mon, Jul 13 2015, 1:58 PM
When is the be-all end-all Greek bailout negotiation weekend not the be-all end-all Greek bailout negotiation? When it ends with both sides going ba...
Fri, Jul 10 2015, 7:32 AM
A trend channel is a set of two parallel lines connecting the highs and lows of a charted security. One way to visually describe a trend channel wi...
Fri, Jul 10 2015, 6:44 PM
Bond markets had been limping back toward slightly stronger territory heading into the afternoon. (Keep in mind, of course, that's stronger territo...
Fri, Jul 10 2015, 1:41 PM
To many, Greece is the boy who cried wolf when it comes to negotiating reforms in exchange for aid from its Eurozone creditors. So when the week be...
Thu, Jul 9 2015, 12:34 PM
Domestic bond markets have taken part in a choppy, volatile, but reasonably strong move away from risk every day so far in July. That means rates hav...
Thu, Jul 9 2015, 7:32 AM
There's very little left on the domestic calendar this week in terms of economic data. Today brings only Jobless Claims in the morning and the 30yr...
Thu, Jul 9 2015, 6:51 PM
The easiest promise to make for 2015 has been that of volatility . It's not the worst we've ever seen, but it continues at a healthy pace in terms o...
Wed, Jul 8 2015, 7:33 AM
Bond market volatility (and indeed market volatility in general) continue to be a hallmark of 2015. This has been a common theme in financial news ...
Wed, Jul 8 2015, 6:52 PM
Treasuries began the overnight session moving lower in yield with Asian equities markets once again selling-off. Shortly after Europe came online, th...
Wed, Jul 8 2015, 1:01 PM
Today's NYSE outage is all anyone can talk about at the moment, but markets haven't really paid it much attention. Keep in mind that a majority of ...
Tue, Jul 7 2015, 7:33 AM
It's a tricky, deceptive, and interesting time to be watching or trading financial markets, let alone merely discussing them with friends, colleagues,...
Tue, Jul 7 2015, 5:33 PM
The day began well for bond markets, led lower in yield by a sharp sell-off in the Euro currency overnight (lowest levels since June 1st). Other gl...
Tue, Jul 7 2015, 1:14 PM
Whether it's Greece, China, commodities, wages, stock market corrections, or the Fed's rate hike outlook, global markets are moving away from risk so ...
Mon, Jul 6 2015, 12:37 PM
Treasuries have safe haven appeal on a global scale. This is frequently seen when Asian markets are open for the first few hours of each trading day ...
Mon, Jul 6 2015, 7:33 AM
Greece held their referendum over the weekend on whether to accept the most recent batch of reform proposals form Eurozone creditors, despite those ...
Mon, Jul 6 2015, 7:13 PM
MBS and Treasuries improved at a healthy clip today, and almost exclusively due to the referendum in Greece over the weekend. The opening yields in...
Thu, Jul 2 2015, 11:39 AM
Bond markets came into the domestic session in markedly weaker territory, but not for any overt reason. Yields merely drifted defensively higher ahea...
Thu, Jul 2 2015, 7:33 AM
With markets closed tomorrow, NFP (the nonfarm payrolls component of the employment situation report) arrives a day early today, and despite all the f...
Thu, Jul 2 2015, 5:18 PM
As far as days with big initial reactions to economic data go, today was about as boring as they come. The first part of the problem was the overnigh...
Wed, Jul 1 2015, 11:52 AM
Greece's chief export these days is red herring . More of them hit the market overnight as Tsipras allegedly sent a letter saying he agreed to almos...
Wed, Jul 1 2015, 7:33 AM
Yesterday saw a fairly noticeable swoop lower in bond prices (higher in yields) at the 3pm CME bond pit close. While we live in an increasingly ele...
Wed, Jul 1 2015, 5:39 PM
The last two days were nice while they lasted , but today's trading levels are right back in line with most of last week. In other words, bonds sold...
Tue, Jun 30 2015, 11:48 AM
Although MBS are just barely into positive territory and Treasuries are just now getting back to unchanged levels after morning weakness, today is abo...
Tue, Jun 30 2015, 7:34 AM
It's a big day for Greece.
No, not today, when the country will 'default' on it's €1.7 bln payment to the IMF. No, not July 5th when the Greek pe...
Tue, Jun 30 2015, 4:10 PM
European and US headlines did their rendition of 'dueling banjos' this afternoon. On the European side, we had potentially fake news out of a country...
Mon, Jun 29 2015, 5:31 PM
Nothing like some good, old-fashioned 'stock lever' to restore one's faith in classic market paradigms. That's the one where traders " sell stocks, b...
Mon, Jun 29 2015, 2:20 PM
The early morning hours for US bond markets were somewhat disheartening as gains steadily evaporated into the 10am hour. Up until that point, it look...
Mon, Jun 29 2015, 1:51 AM
After falling abruptly from June highs near 1.14 at the start of last week, the Euro currency finished Friday under 1.12. Visually and actually, the ...
Fri, Jun 26 2015, 11:14 AM
The trend continues to be unfriendly this morning. Markets are defending against the possibility that the weekend brings a Greek debt deal. Headline...
Fri, Jun 26 2015, 7:33 AM
With bond markets unable to break back into May's trading range last week and now unable to break into last week's range this week, things aren't l...
Fri, Jun 26 2015, 5:13 PM
Paradoxically, US bond markets sold off (read: rates went higher) much more sharply than European bond markets today. That will certainly make no sen...
Thu, Jun 25 2015, 12:26 PM
At present, we mustn't try to force rate movement into historically reliable cause-and-effect equations. All we know is the answer and several of t...
Thu, Jun 25 2015, 7:33 AM
I realize that by including Greece in a headline that I'm not really helping the issue that I'm about to complain about (again), but perhaps the headl...
Thu, Jun 25 2015, 5:45 PM
Bond markets moved back toward the higher end of their recent yield range today--and indeed, the highest pivot point in 2015. 10yr yields have only b...
Wed, Jun 24 2015, 12:55 PM
For all intents and purposes, only 2 things have happened for bond markets this week. Yields rose quickly on Monday and have moved sideways since the...
Wed, Jun 24 2015, 7:33 AM
We can talk about minutia or we can talk about the big picture . Minute details vary as far as their suggested impact on bond market momentum. In...
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